Stolen Valour.
Asking pollsters to be mind readers is a bit much, in my book. Besides. How can we count on Conservatives not voting for Trump? In that polling place, with hopes for more Conservative judges, fewer abortions, and more 'Real America', the cagey Conservative can vote for the evil without having to own that vote. I've met plenty of Conservatives who say, "I don't like the guy personally, but I do like my 6-3 court, and Liberals want to take that away from me."
If they vote for us, great! That'll make a marginal victory into a landslide victory, and might push a marginal loss into a solid victory. But we can't count on them. We need to do the work to make sure we get past that 50%+1 margin in at least 270 EVs worth of states and not count on other people to do it. I don't want to wake up Wednesday morning and see that Stein got more votes in the state that we needed to get to 270 than Trump won that state by....
The message here is that you shouldn't count on any of that. Polling has its issues, for sure, and there may very well be a huge win for Harris in unexpected places as Republican voters cross the aisle to deny Trump a seat. Or it may all be a mirage and we're back to leftie voters switching to Third Parties or staying home in enough numbers to give Trump the win. The only way to be sure that we win and Project 2025 and Trump are denied are to turn out as if we're 1% down in the polls. Vote like your vote is the +1 in the 50%+1 that determines who will win. Vote as if every single Republican was going to turn out for Trump and his awful policies. And if you honestly think that we've got this in the bag, vote so that the numbers are crazy. Vote so you can get the landslide.
None of the polls matter except the one that concludes next month, that your State will run. Never forget that.
Why? Al Gore and Richard Nixon both certified their losses, while Bush-41 certified his victory, and every year that the incumbent ticket wins is a year that the VP certifies their victory as VP. What's so different now? Frankly, nothing.
Give it a try and see if the mods let it stand. That's the only way to be sure. And don't expect consistency. After all, this is a part of the rules:
All posts and comments will be reviewed on a case-by-case basis. This means that some content that violates the rules may be allowed, while other content that does not violate the rules may be removed. The moderators retain the right to remove any content and ban users.
Dear reader, when you read OP's posts, take the time to look at the upvote to downvote percentage. This poster is going out of its way to bash Democrats, and while we can't say why that is (thanks mods!!!), we CAN say that there is a concerted effort by Republicans, Russians, right-wing trolls, and other authoritarians to throw this election to Trump to establish authoritarianism here. Keep that in mind as you read these articles from this poster.
And gets downvoted by ridiculous measures, which I'm glad for.
Hopefully most, if not all, of those 64k unaffiliated voters mark Harris and Trump needs FAR more than 12k votes to steal it.
Absolutely. Carter is an inspiration. Trump is an attention-seeking asshole.
Yeah. My first vote was for Bill Clinton in '92. I voted for him again in '96. I saw no difference between Gore and Bush and didn't vote in 2000. We got the utter shitshow that was Bush 43, but even then I still voted third party in some elections.
No more. Team Red is now Team Fascist, and either Red or Blue will be in office unless and until Team Green or Team Yellow or whatever you got can take more than half of their political ideology's votes.
That's the real problem here. Third Parties cap out at 10% of the total vote, or about 20% of their ideologies' parties vote share. They can't win THIS party's primaries. How can I expect them to win the country?
A couple of points I'd add to this:
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Trump is a symptom, not the cause. Put another way, should Trump choke on an overcooked steak tomorrow and die, the threat won't be ended. The cancer is the entire GQP, not just its leader.
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Americans as a whole have a desire for authoritarianism. 'Make those bad people behave the way I want them to' is endemic in American culture.
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Not only can it happen here, it has, twice, and damn near took our Democracy down with it both times.
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Five disinformation tactics Russia is using to try to influence the US election
(theconversation.com)
27
Analysis | The problem for third parties? America is not a political free market.
(www.washingtonpost.com)
590
Democrats need to pull themselves together and remember: Biden is still better than Trump
(www.usatoday.com)
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There's definitely a case to be made for charging Trump under the Stolen Valor Act of 2013. The hard part here will be proving Trump's using his Stolen Valour to "fraudulently claim having received a valor award specified in the Act, with the intention of obtaining money, property, or other tangible benefit by convincing another that they received the award." The penalties for this crime appear to be six months to a year in jail.
The problem here is to get a conviction, you'll have to prove that Trump is getting some kind of tangible benefit, which I'm not sure this Trumpian justice system will do.