this post was submitted on 25 Jan 2024
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Discussion of climate, how it is changing, activism around that, the politics, and the energy systems change we need in order to stabilize things.

As a starting point, the burning of fossil fuels, and to a lesser extent deforestation and release of methane are responsible for the warming in recent decades: Graph of temperature as observed with significant warming, and simulated without added greenhouse gases and other anthropogentic changes, which shows no significant warming

How much each change to the atmosphere has warmed the world: IPCC AR6 Figure 2 - Thee bar charts: first chart: how much each gas has warmed the world. About 1C of total warming. Second chart: about 1.5C of total warming from well-mixed greenhouse gases, offset by 0.4C of cooling from aerosols and negligible influence from changes to solar output, volcanoes, and internal variability. Third chart: about 1.25C of warming from CO2, 0.5C from methane, and a bunch more in small quantities from other gases. About 0.5C of cooling with large error bars from SO2.

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Climatic analogs for some US urban areas in the late 21st century: (cdn.masto.host)
submitted 8 months ago by [email protected] to c/[email protected]
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Climatic analogs for some US urban areas in the late 21st century:
https://www.nature.com/articles/s41467-019-08540-3 @climate

#climateChange #climate #projections #dataViz #map #analog #classification

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[–] [email protected] 18 points 8 months ago (3 children)

They also made a web app where you can input any city and it will show you its 2080 analog: https://fitzlab.shinyapps.io/cityapp/

[–] HootinNHollerin 2 points 8 months ago (1 children)

That’s pretty nifty and easy to interpret

[–] [email protected] 4 points 8 months ago

And they use OpenStreetMap, pretty cool

[–] [email protected] 1 points 8 months ago (1 children)

Cool idea, but outdated and pretty inaccurate for a lot of areas unfortunately. I’ve seen a few better versions out there.

[–] [email protected] 3 points 8 months ago (1 children)

Do you have some links?
Maybe also something that's not just US only? :⁠-⁠\

[–] [email protected] 2 points 8 months ago* (last edited 8 months ago) (1 children)

I’ll see if I can find what I was looking at. I haven’t seen a really perfect one though. If you want to answer a specific question about your future climate, it’s often best to just look at local predictions.

[–] [email protected] 1 points 8 months ago (1 children)

Thanks for the effort already! :⁠-⁠)

[–] [email protected] 2 points 8 months ago

I think this was the best one I had found: https://climate.copernicus.eu/climate-analogues-finding-tomorrows-climate-today

Unfortunately it appears to be broken at the moment. Hopefully that is temporary.