this post was submitted on 11 Oct 2023
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NZ Politics

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I don't know a single person voting Nats but my gut feeling is they will get it. And likely not by a huge margin, meaning Nat-Act govt likely.

ITT no discussing why X should or shouldn't be in, just your predictions.

Also, is it illegal to bet on elections?

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[–] [email protected] 5 points 1 year ago (2 children)

Apparently not, and odds are pretty good for Nat:

[–] [email protected] 3 points 1 year ago (1 children)

Those odds aren't really lining up with current polling which is putting NZFist and Act on or about the same number of seats, if not NZ1 above.

[–] [email protected] 2 points 1 year ago

NZF often polls lower than its support on the day.

[–] [email protected] 2 points 1 year ago (1 children)

Why so high for Act? Would they not be considered part of the government in a coalition with Nats?

[–] [email protected] 1 points 1 year ago (1 children)

Yes but Seymour wouldn't be PM

[–] [email protected] 2 points 1 year ago

That's only if no majority is achieved though.